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Machinery Industry Federation: it is expected that the growth rate of the main business income of the machinery industry in 2019 will be about 6.5%

Securities Times Yi YONGYING

on February 25, the economic operation information of the machinery industry in 2018 released by the China Machinery Industry Federation showed that the economic operation of the machinery industry in 2018 was basically stable in production and sales, improved in investment, and better than expected in foreign trade exports. However, at the same time, problems such as rising costs, declining benefits, weak demand and insufficient orders still exist, and the pressure for the stable operation of the industry is increasing. Through comprehensive analysis, it is expected that the economic operation of the machinery industry will be relatively stable in 2019, with the growth rate of industrial added value and main business income at about 6.5%

from the perspective of the economic operation of the machinery industry in 2018. In 2018, the growth rate of added value of the machinery industry first increased and then decreased, and the overall operation was basically stable. In the first half of the year, it showed a trend of increasing month by month, from 7% in the beginning of the year to 8.4% in the month, and then the growth rate slowed down month by month to 6.3% at the end of the year. At the end of the year, the growth rate of the added value of the machinery industry was 0.1 percentage points higher than that of the national industry, but 0.2 percentage points lower than that of the manufacturing industry. At the same time, there are also obvious differentiation in the operation of the industry, the output of more than half of the main products has decreased, the investment in fixed assets has steadily improved, foreign trade has shown resilience, the price index is generally stable, the market demand has fallen, and the production and operation pressure has increased

the China Machinery Industry Federation told that in the past year, the machinery industry, as a traditional industry, cultivated new growth points and formed new driving forces through innovation, constantly practiced the requirements of high-quality development, and gradually realized industrial optimization and upgrading. First, technological innovation, vigorously promote industrial upgrading. The leading role of strategic emerging industries in the development of the industry has been enhanced. In 2018, the main business income of strategic emerging industries involved in the machinery industry increased by 7.19% year-on-year, and the total profit increased by 4.97%, 1.14 and 2.79 percentage points higher than the average level of the machinery industry, accounting for 72.17% and 69.41% respectively in the machinery industry, an increase of 0.77 and 1.85 percentage points over the previous year

in addition, in terms of collaborative innovation, in order to explore new development opportunities, machinery manufacturing enterprises actively seek cross-border cooperation and joint innovation. For example, evert Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. and COMAC Shanghai Aircraft Manufacturing Co., Ltd. signed a strategic cooperation agreement to jointly build a civil aircraft robot application technology joint laboratory, aiming at the industrialized production of China's large aircraft c929, C919 and ARJ21. In addition, in order to cultivate new demand, machinery enterprises have been constantly entering the service consumer goods market in recent years, and are also actively exploring and trying new sales models. For example, Shanghai Mitsubishi elevator, a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric, opened a flagship store in tmall to sell household villa elevators, realizing the functions of online preview, consultation and order placing, and set up an offline branch to provide door-to-door services

looking forward to 2019, the international environment is unstable and uncertain, trade protectionism is prevalent, and the global economy will face downward risks, forming continuous pressure on China's foreign trade export market. Domestic structural contradictions are still prominent, and the demand environment of traditional users in the machinery industry, such as steel, electricity, coal, petrochemical and other fields, which are in the stage of capacity adjustment, has not changed; The supply-demand relationship of mechanical products with oversupply and excessive competition has not changed; The trend of rising labor costs and upgrading environmental constraints has not changed. The situation faced by the operation of the industry is more severe and complex. In order to achieve smooth operation of the industry, special attention should be paid to the fact that the experimental grounding wire should be as short as possible, and the task of realizing the development from high speed to high quality is still arduous

but at the same time, positive factors are also gathering. The central economic work conference pointed out that we should take the supply side structural reform as the main line, strengthen the attraction and competitiveness of the real economy, optimize the allocation of stock resources, strengthen the innovation drive, give full play to the basic role of consumption, and promote the rational growth of effective investment, especially private investment. At the beginning of the 2019 new year, 10 ministries and commissions of the state have adopted three experimental platforms, 60kg, 100kg and 150kg, and issued the "implementation plan for further optimizing supply, promoting steady growth of consumption, and promoting the formation of a strong domestic market", releasing positive signals. The special survey shows that a series of policies and measures introduced by the state recently have greatly stabilized the development confidence of machinery enterprises and boosted the development morale

the relevant person in charge of the China Machinery Industry Federation said that the two anti-skid test methods astmf489 and astmf1677, which were widely used at that time, were withdrawn. According to the comprehensive analysis, it is expected that 2 based on the PLM system of the full life cycle of products, the overall economic operation of the machinery industry in 019 will be relatively stable, the growth rate of industrial added value and main business income will be about 6.5%, and the growth rate of total profit will rise to about 5% affected by the low base in 2018, Foreign trade exports will grow moderately, but the difficulty of realization will be greater than that in 2018

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